Author(s):Katharina Bergant, Andrés Fernández Martin, Ken Teoh and Martín Uribe Date:January 16, 2026 Abstract: Employing large language models to analyze official documents, we construct a comprehensive record of daily changes in de jure restrictions on cross-border flows worldwide since the 1950s. Our analysis uncovers the wide array of instruments used to regulate cross-border financial flows[…]

Author(s): Matthieu Bussière, Tommaso Gasparini, Guillaume Horny and Benoît Nguyen Date:December, 2025 Abstract: How does heterogeneity in deposit funding among banks influence the transmission of monetary policy to loan supply? To address this question, we exploit a bank-level panel dataset of more than 450 banks from 19 euro-area countries from 2007 to 2023. Our empirical[…]

Author(s):Enrique G. Mendoza & Vincenzo Quadrini Date:January, 2026 Abstract: We study how the increased cross-country ownership of financial assets between advanced and emerging economies impacted their financial and macroeconomic volatility. While cross-country ownership improved risk-sharing and reduced volatility associated with financial crises, it also increased the exposure of countries to foreign crises, leading to higher[…]

Author(s):Dennis Reinhardt, Julian Reynolds and Rhiannon Sowerbutts Date:December, 2025 Abstract: How does geopolitical risk affect cross-border bank lending? To examine this question, we exploit a rich cross-border bank lending data set from the UK which records banks’ large exposures to individual firms and match this with a firm-level measure of geopolitical risk, derived from firms’[…]

Author(s): Dohan Kim and Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti Date: January 2026 Abstract: Over the past two decades, many emerging market economies have become more resilient to external financial shocks. This paper assesses whether such resilience is broadly shared across emerging markets and developing economies by classifying them into three tiers based on economic size, income level,[…]

Author(s):Martin Kliem & Norbert Metiu Date:November, 2025 Abstract: Financial cycles, characterized by long-term fluctuations in credit and house prices, have profound implications for macro-financial stability. This study explores how systematic monetary policy can shape these cycles, offering insights into its potential to mitigate financial instability. Using U.S. data, we demonstrate that monetary policy can dampen[…]

Author(s):Serkan Arslanalp, Barry Eichengreen & Chima Simpson-Bell Date:November, 2025 Abstract: We document some underappreciated aspects of the recent evolution of the international reserve system. These include the growing share of gold in global central bank reserves, the continuing emergence of nontraditional reserve currencies, and the stalling share of renminbi in reserves. These trends are consistent[…]

Author(s):Sarah Quincy & Chenzi Xu Date:November, 2025 Abstract: We study the long-run effects of the first wave of U.S. banking market integration on capital mobility and manufacturing productivity. Using newly digitized bank and branch balance sheet data matched to state and county panels, we provide direct evidence that branching produced lasting productivity gains without aggregate[…]

Author(s):Giovanni Covi, Maren Froemel, Dennis Reinhardt and Nora Wegner Date:October 31, 2025 Abstract: How do banks respond to transition risk and which mechanisms drive this response? We shed new light on this question using data on granular international large exposures of UK banks. Climate policy is the main source of transition risk we use. We[…]

Author(s):Olivier De Jonghe et al. Date:November, 2025 Abstract: We study heterogeneity in households’ credit across nine European countries (Belgium, Spain, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Portugal, and Slovakia) during 2022-2024 using granular credit register data. We first document substantial between- and within-country variation in mortgage and consumer lending by borrower age, loan maturity, and interest[…]