New York FED Staff Reports – Failing Banks

Author(s):Sergio Correia, Stephan Luck, and Emil Verner Date:September 2024 Abstract: Why do banks fail? We create a panel covering most commercial banks from 1865 through 2023 to study the history of failing banks in the United States. Failing banks are characterized by rising asset losses, deteriorating solvency, and an increasing reliance on expensive non-core funding.[…]

CEPR Discussion Paper – International Investment Income: Patterns, Drivers, and Heterogeneous Sensitivities

Author(s):Giovanni Donato, Cédric Tille Date:July 2024 Abstract: Financial globalization has led to a large increase in international asset holdings. While the rise of associated dividend and interest flows has until now been muted by the decreasing trend in interest rates, this pattern could change, leading to a larger role of investment income flows in the[…]

CEPR Discussion Paper – Intermediary Balance Sheet Constraints, Bond Mutual Funds’ Strategies, and Bond Returns

Author(s):Mariassunta Giannetti, Jotikasthira Chotibhak, Andreas Rapp, Martin Waibel Date:July 2024 Abstract: We show that after the introduction of the leverage ratio constraints on bank-affiliated dealers, bond mutual funds have engaged in more liquidity provision in investment-grade corporate bonds and that the performance of funds with liquidity-supplying strategies has benefited. Not only have regulations transferred profits[…]

CEPR Discussion Paper – The Global Financial Cycle: Quantities versus Prices

Author(s):Eugenio Cerutti, Stijn Claessens Date:July 2024 Abstract: We quantify the importance of the Global Financial Cycle (GFCy) in domestic credit and various local asset prices and compare it with that in capital flows. Using 2000-2021 data for 76 economies and a simple methodology, we find that each respective series’ common factor and conventional US GFCy-drivers[…]

NBER Working Paper – Sovereign Haircuts: 200 Years of Creditor Losses

Author(s):Clemens M. Graf von Luckner, Josefin Meyer, Carmen M. Reinhart & Christoph Trebesch Date:June 2024 Abstract: We study sovereign external debt crises over the past 200 years, with a focus on creditor losses, or “haircuts”. Our sample covers 327 sovereign debt restructurings with external private creditors over 205 default spells since 1815. Creditor losses vary[…]

BIS Working Paper – The impact of macroprudential policies on industrial growth

Author(s):Carlos Madeira Date:May 2024 Abstract: This paper analyses the causal impact of macroprudential policies on growth, using industry-leveldata for 89 countries for the period 1990 to 2021. The small industry size creates an exogenous identification and avoids reverse-causality. I find that macroprudential tightening measures have a negative impact on manufacturing growth, but only for industries[…]

NBER Working Paper – Fiscal Consequences of Central Bank Losses

Author(s):Stephen G. Cecchetti & Jens Hilscher Date:May 2024 Abstract: In response to the Global Financial Crisis, central banks engaged in large-scale asset purchases funded by the issuance of reserves. These “unconventional” policies continued during the pandemic, so that by 2022 central banks’ balance sheets had grown up to ten-fold. As a result of rapidly increasing[…]

Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper – Book Value Risk Management of Banks: Limited Hedging, HTM Accounting, and Rising Interest Rates

Author(s):Joao Granja, Erica Xuewei Jiang, Gregor Matvos, Tomasz Piskorski, Amit Seru Date:April 2024 Abstract: In the face of rising interest rates in 2022, banks mitigated interest rate exposure of the accounting value of their assets but left the vast majority of their long-duration assets exposed to interest rate risk. Data from call reports and SEC[…]

Foreign-borne Interest Rate Risk: Effects of Foreign Deposits on Monetary Policy and Bank Balance Sheets

Author(s):Rashad Ahmed Date:March 2024 Abstract: Foreign deposits are a key funding source for US commercial banks but subject to a different degree of interest rate risk than domestic deposits. Specifically, foreign deposit betas are significantly larger than domestic deposit betas, implying that the former has shorter effective duration. Larger foreign deposit betas imply that the[…]