March 2026: BIS Quarterly Review – Evolving approaches to monetary policy communication in the face of uncertainty: fan charts, scenarios and guidance

Author(s):Sarah Bell, Matthieu Chavaz, Boris Hofmann, Daniel Rees and Matthias Rottner Date:March 2026 Abstract: The elevated and rapidly shifting nature of uncertainty in recent years has posed challenges for central bank communication. In particular, central banks have had to reconsider how to communicate the economic outlook and the monetary policy response. They have expanded their communications toolkit to explain uncertainty[…]

February 2026: SUERF Policy Brief – The hidden maturity of non-maturing deposits: How Banks model it

by Lara Coulier, Cosimo Pancaro, Livia Pancotto & Alessio Reghezza How do banks manage the behavioural maturity of non-maturing deposits (NMDs)? Although NMDs are contractually floating-rate liabilities with zero maturity, banks allocate them across different maturity buckets using models that reflect past depositor behaviour. Notably, only 20% of NMDs are treated as having zero maturity,[…]

February 2026: SUERF Policy Brief – How foreign demand for safety creates instability

by Madalen Castells-Jauregui, Dmitry Kuvshinov, Björn Richter & Victoria Vanasco Our study documents the central role of the foreign sector in the market for safety and explores its macroeconomic implications. Using new data for advanced economies since 1980, we show that foreign demand for safe assets has steadily increased, and that is has been mainly[…]

December 2025: Integrating contagion risk into the 2025 EU-wide stress test: a system-wide analysis with amplification effects between banks and non-banks

Published as part of the Macroprudential Bulletin 32Prepared by Alberto Grassi, Michael Kosiahn, Chiara Lelli, María Losa Martín, Michael Moers, Matthias Sydow, Michael Vincent and Garbrand Wiersema “This article expands on the 2025 EU-wide stress test by incorporating a system-wide perspective to capture contagion risks across investment funds and insurance corporations alongside the banking sector.[…]

December 2025: New Financial Stability Review

by the European Central Bank The Financial Stability Review provides an overview of potential risks to financial stability in the euro area. It aims to promote awareness in the financial industry and among the public of euro area financial stability issues. It is published twice a year, with the next release set for 27 May[…]

November 2025: Central Bank Access and Flight to Safety

Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS)by Lucia Gurrieri, Chase Ross, Ben Schmiedt, Alexandros P. Vardoulakis, and Vladimir Yankov We examine whether access to the Federal Reserve’s Overnight Reverse Repo Facility (ON RRP) affects money market fund flows during flight-to-safety episodes. We find that funds with ON RRP access serving sophisticated investors experience about a 1[…]