BIS Working Paper – Constrained liquidity provision in currency markets

Author(s):
Wenqian Huang, Angelo Ranaldo, Andreas Schrimpf, and Fabricius Somogyi

Date:
February 2023

Abstract:

We study dealers’ liquidity provision in the currency market. We show that at times when dealers’ intermediation capacity is constrained their cost of liquidity provision increases disproportionately relative to dealer-provided volume. As a result, the elasticity of dealers’ liquidity provision drops by at least 80% relative to periods when they are unconstrained. We identify constrained periods based on leverage ratios, Value-at-Risk measures, credit default spreads, and debt funding costs. We interpret our novel empirical findings within a parsimonious model that sheds light on the key mechanisms of how liquidity provision by dealers tends to weaken when intermediary constraints are tightening.

Link: Constrained liquidity provision in currency markets