NBER Working Paper – States as Financiers: International Lending in War and Peace

Author(s):Sebastian Horn, Carmen M. Reinhart & Christoph Trebesch Date:May, 2026 Abstract: States are major international financiers, but their role is poorly understood. We study state-driven cross-border lending over two centuries using a new database covering 1.2 million official loans and grants by 134 governments and 70 multilateral institutions since 1790. We document a dual, state-contingent[…]

May 2026: BIS Publication – Acting under uncertainty – the case for supervisory risk appetite frameworks

by Monica Balan and Raihan Zamil Periodic episodes of banking sector distress invariably expose weaknesses in banks’ governance and risk management and shortcomings in supervision. A recurring challenge for supervisory authorities (SAs) is the lack of an explicit framework to define, manage, and communicate their tolerance for supervisory risk: the risk that supervisory actions or inaction fail to[…]

May 2026: ECB – Stress in global private credit markets and its implications for euro area financial stability

Prepared by Katharina Cera, Daniel Dieckelmann, Kalin Nikolov, Glenn Schepens and Oscar Schwartz Blicke Recent stress in parts of the US private credit market − including concerns about exposures in the software sector and redemption pressure in semi-liquid vehicles − has led to renewed focus on possible financial stability risks stemming from private credit and the potential[…]

May 2026: SUERF Policy Brief – Lending operations are back: Lessons from German banks before the GFC

by Daniel Fricke and Franziska Schobert Refinancing operations will play a central role in the Eurosystem as reserves continue to decline. This marks a shift from the past decade of asset purchases, but not from historical practice: prior to the global financial crisis (GFC), collateralized lending operations, in particular refinancing operations, already played a key[…]

May 2026: SUERF Policy Brief – High-definition finance: Household financial assets viewed through a new data lens

by Simone Arrigoni, Agustin Benetrix, Tara McIndoe-Calder and Davide Romelli This Policy Brief explores the link between household financial holdings and demographic characteristics through the lens of a novel dataset that combines granular asset-level information from the Securities Holdings Statistics (SHS) with household-level characteristics from the Household Finance and Consumption Survey (HFCS). By integrating these[…]