CEPR Working Paper – Yet it Endures: The Persistence of Original Sin

Author(s):Barry Eichengreen, Ricardo Hausmann, and Ugo Panizza Date:November 2022 Abstract: Notwithstanding announcements of progress, “international original sin” (the denomination ofexternal debt in foreign currency) remains a persistent phenomenon in emerging markets.Although some middle-income countries have succeeded in developing markets in local-currencysovereign debt and attracting foreign investors, they continue to hedge their currency exposuresthrough transactions with[…]

SSRN Working Paper – Basel III Credit-to-GDP Gaps and the Origins of Their Unreliability: Introducing Historical Reliability Bands

Author(s):Josefine Quast Date:July 2022 Abstract: Basel III credit-to-GDP gaps are used to assess whether aggregate credit is excessive or not and inform macroprudential policymaking. Yet, estimates from Basel III’s prescribed detrending procedure are prone to continuous reevaluations that do not reflect changes in the data and exceed commonly discussed end-of-sample biases from converging one- and[…]

SSRN Working Paper – Cultural Stereotypes of Multinational Banks

Author(s):Barry Eichengreen and Orkun Saka Date:December 2022 Abstract: Using hand-collected data spanning more than a decade on European banks’ sovereign debt portfolios, we show that the trust of residents of a bank’s countries of operation in the residents of a potential target country of investment has a positive, statistically significant, and economically important association with[…]

BIS Working Paper: Macro-financial stability frameworks: experience and challenges

Author(s):Claudio Borio, Ilhyock Shim, and Hyun Song Shin Date:December 2022 Abstract: Since the 2008–9 Great Financial Crisis, major advanced economies (AEs) have used monetary and macroprudential policies to achieve macroeconomic and financial stability. Emerging market economies (EMEs) have, in addition, combined interest rate tools with FX intervention, macroprudential policy and, sometimes, capital flow management measures[…]

The Oxford Saïd – Risk Center at ETH Zürich Macro-finance Conference 2023

CfP Deadline Date:March 1, 2023 Conference Event:June 30 to July 1 2023 Event Location:Oxford, UK Keynote Speaker(s):Professor Raghuram Rajan, Chicago Booth (confirmed)Sir. Paul Tucker, Harvard Kennedy School (to be confirmed) Organizer(s):Risk Center at ETH ZürichSaïd Business School, University of Oxford The Risk Center at ETH Zürich and Saïd Business School at the University of Oxford[…]

The Oxford Saïd – Risk Center at ETH Zürich Macro-finance Conference 2023

CfP Deadline Date:March 1, 2023 Conference Event:June 30 to July 1 2023 Event Location:Oxford, UK Keynote Speaker(s):Professor Raghuram Rajan, Chicago Booth (confirmed)Sir. Paul Tucker, Harvard Kennedy School (to be confirmed) Organizer(s):Risk Center at ETH ZürichSaïd Business School, University of Oxford The Risk Center at ETH Zürich and Saïd Business School at the University of Oxford[…]

December 2022: Basel Committee evaluation shows that the implemented Basel III reforms contributed to increase bank resilience

By Bank for International Settlements (BIS) The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision today issued a third report on its evaluation of the impact and effectiveness of implemented Basel reforms. Evaluation of the impact and efficacy of Basel III reforms sets out the Committee’s first holistic evaluation of how the reforms have affected bank resilience and systemic[…]