The Global Capital Allocation Project – The Geography of Capital Allocation in the Euro Area

Author(s):Roland Beck, Antonio Coppola, Angus Lewis, Matteo Maggiori, Martin Schmitz, Jesse Schregger Date:March 2023 Abstract: We reassess the pattern of Euro Area financial integration adjusting for the role of “onshore offshore financial centers” (OOFCs) within the Euro Area. While the Euro Area records large levels of international investment both within and outside of the currency[…]

NBER Working Paper – The March 2023 Bank Interventions in Long-Run Context – Silicon Valley Bank and beyond

Author(s):Andrew Metrick, Paul Schmelzing Date:March 2023 Abstract: U.S. and European banking institutions were hit by a wave of distress in March 2023. Policymakers on both sides of the Atlantic reacted with an array of interventions, some targeting individual institutions, others designed to shore up the banking sector as a whole. This paper contextualizes events using[…]

CEPR Discussion Paper – CBDC Policies in Open Economies

Author(s):Michael Kumhof, Marco Pinchetti, Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, Andrej Sokol Date:March 2023 Abstract: We study the consequences for business cycles and welfare of introducing an interest-bearing retail CBDC, competing with bank deposits as medium of exchange, into an estimated 2-country DSGE environment. CBDC issuance of 30% of GDP increases output and welfare by around 6% and 2%,[…]

CEPR Discussion Paper – Quantifying Systemic Risk in the Presence of Unlisted Banks: Application to the European Banking Sector

Author(s):Daniel Dimitrov, Sweder van Wijnbergen Date:March 2023 Abstract: We propose a credit portfolio approach for evaluating systemic risk and attributing it across institutions. We construct a model that can be estimated from high-frequency CDS data. This captures risks from publicly traded banks, privately held institutions, and cooperative banks, extending approaches that rely on information from[…]

NBER Working Paper – Banking Crises in Historical Perspective

Author(s):Javier Bianchi and César Sosa-Padilla Date:March 2023 Abstract: This paper surveys the recent empirical literature on historical banking crises, defined as events taking place before 1980. Advances in data collection and identification have provided new insights into the causes and consequences of crises both immediately and over the long run. We highlight three overarching threads[…]

NBER Working Paper – International Sanctions and Dollar Dominance

Author(s):Javier Bianchi and César Sosa-Padilla Date:March 2023 Abstract: This paper investigates the implications of international financial sanctions for the reserve currency status of the US dollar. We propose a simple model of a reserve currency, demonstrate how the anticipation of financial sanctions can weaken the dollar’s status, and evaluate the welfare implications.

CEPR Discussion Paper – Cross-Border Investment in Emerging Market Bonds: Stylized Facts and Security-Level Evidence from Europe

Author(s):Katharina Bergant, Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti, and Martin Schmitz Date:February 2023 Abstract: We provide stylized facts on nonresident holdings of emerging market bonds and analyze the determinants of euro area investors’ purchases of such securities, using a comprehensive security-level dataset that tracks net transactions of individual bonds issued by emerging market economies. Euro area investors show[…]

CEPR Discussion Paper – The Global Dollar Cycle

Author(s):Maurice Obstfeld and Haonan Zhou Date:February 2023 Abstract: The U.S. dollar’s nominal effective exchange rate closely tracks global financial conditions, whichthemselves show a cyclical pattern. Over that cycle, world asset prices, leverage, and capital flowsmove in concert with global growth, especially influencing the fortunes of emerging and developingeconomies (EMDEs). This paper documents that dollar appreciation[…]

BIS Working Paper – Overcoming original sin: insights from a new dataset

Author(s):Mert Onen, Hyun Song Shin and Goetz von Peter Date:February 2023 Abstract: This paper introduces a new dataset on emerging market sovereign bonds, distinguishing between the currency of denomination and the residence of investors. Our dataset is on long-term government bonds and provides a more complete coverage of bonds issued in domestic markets. We document[…]

Bank of England Staff Working Paper – Negative rates, monetary policy transmission and cross-border lending via international financial centres

Author(s):Desislava Andreeva, Andra Coman, Mary Everett, Maren Froemel, Kelvin Ho, Simon Lloyd, Baptiste Meunier, Justine Pedrono, Dennis Reinhardt, Andrew Wong, Eric Wong and Dawid Żochowski Date:January 2023 Abstract: We study the effects of negative interest rate policies (NIRP) on the transmission of monetary policy through cross-border lending. Using bank-level data from international financial centres (IFCs)[…]