CEPR Discussion Paper – Anticipated Financial Contagion

Author(s):Toni Ahnert, Gideon DuRand, Co-Pierre Georg Date:June 2023 Abstract: We examine the incidence of financial contagion, bank choices, welfare, and regulation when interconnected banks anticipate an aggregate liquidity shock. Revisiting the seminal paper of Allen and Gale (2000), interbank deposits allow banks to co-insure against regional liquidity shocks but can also lead to contagion—the mutual[…]

FEDS – Stressed Banks? Evidence from the Largest-Ever Supervisory Review

Author(s):Puriya Abbassi, Rajkamal Iyer, Jose-Luis Peydro, Paul E. Soto Date:April 2023 Abstract: We study short-term and medium-term changes in bank risk-taking as a result of supervision, and the associated real effects. For identification, we exploit the European Central Bank’s asset-quality-review (AQR) in conjunction with security and credit registers. After the AQR announcement, reviewed banks reduce[…]

Working Paper – Deposit Market Power and Bank Risk-Taking

Author(s):Ziang Li, Jihong Song Date:February 2023 Abstract: We document a novel fact about the cross-section of banks’ risk-taking behavior — banks with high deposit market power take on significantly less credit risk. In particular, the loan portfolios of high-market-power banks are much safer than those of low-market-power banks. This persistent relationship is not driven by[…]

NBER Working Paper – Specialization in Banking

Author(s):Kristian Blickle, Cecilia Parlatore, Anthony Saunders Date:March 2023 Abstract: Using supervisory data on the loan portfolios of large US banks, we document that these banks specialize by concentrating their lending disproportionately in a few industries. This specialization is consistent with banks having industry-specific knowledge, reflected in reduced risk of loan defaults, lower aggregate charge-offs, and[…]

SAFE Working Paper – The Long-Run Real Effects of Banking Crises: Firm-Level Investment Dynamics and the Role of Wage Rigidity

Author(s):Carlo Wix Date:March 2023 Abstract: I study the long-run effects of credit market disruptions on real firm outcomes and how these effects depend on nominal wage rigidity at the firm level. Exploiting variation in firms’ refinancing needs during the global financial crisis, I trace out firms’ investment and growth trajectories in response to a credit[…]

ECB Working Paper Series – Firm-bank relationships: a cross-country comparison

Author(s):Kamelia Kosekova, Angela Maddaloni, Melina Papoutsi, Fabiano Schivardi Date:June 2023 Abstract: We document the structure of firm-bank relationships across eleven euro area countries and present new stylised facts using data from the Eurosystem credit registry – AnaCredit. We look at the number of banking relationships, reliance on the main bank, credit instruments, loan maturity, and[…]

NBER Working Paper – Dollarization Dynamics

Author(s):Tomás E. Caravello, Pedro Martinez-Bruera, Iván Werning Date:June 2023 Abstract: This study explores the consequences of dollarizing an economy with an initial dollar shortage. We show that the resulting transitional dynamics are tantamount to that of a “sudden stop”: consumption of tradable goods fall, the real exchange rate depreciates abruptly by a discrete drop in[…]

CEPR Discussion Paper – Central Bank Communication by ??? The Economics of Public Policy Leaks

Author(s):Michael Ehrmann, Phillipp Gnan, Kilian Rieder Date:May 2023 Abstract: Leaks of confidential information emanating from public institutions have been the focus of a longstanding line of research. Yet, their determinants as well as their potential impact on public views and on policy effectiveness remain elusive. We construct a database of anonymous monetary policy leaks in[…]

CEPR Discussion Paper – Financial Crises and the Global Supply Network: Evidence from Multinational Enterprises

Author(s):Sergi Basco, Giulia Felice, Bruno Merlevede, Martí Mestieri Date:May 2023 Abstract: This paper empirically examines the effects of financial crises on the organization of production of multinational enterprises. We construct a panel of European multinational networks from 2003 through 2015. We use as a financial shock the increase in risk premia between August 2007 and[…]

NBER Working Paper – Stress Relief? Funding Structures and Resilience to the Covid Shock

Author(s):Kristin Forbes, Christian Friedrich, Dennis Reinhardt Date:May 2023 Abstract: This paper explores the relationship between different funding structures—including the source, instrument, currency, and counterparty location of funding—and the extent of financial stress experienced in different countries and sectors during the sharp risk-off shock in early 2020 when Covid-19 spread globally. We measure financial stress using[…]