CEPR Discussion Paper – Central Bank Communication by ??? The Economics of Public Policy Leaks

Author(s):Michael Ehrmann, Phillipp Gnan, Kilian Rieder Date:May 2023 Abstract: Leaks of confidential information emanating from public institutions have been the focus of a longstanding line of research. Yet, their determinants as well as their potential impact on public views and on policy effectiveness remain elusive. We construct a database of anonymous monetary policy leaks in[…]

CEPR Discussion Paper – Financial Crises and the Global Supply Network: Evidence from Multinational Enterprises

Author(s):Sergi Basco, Giulia Felice, Bruno Merlevede, Martí Mestieri Date:May 2023 Abstract: This paper empirically examines the effects of financial crises on the organization of production of multinational enterprises. We construct a panel of European multinational networks from 2003 through 2015. We use as a financial shock the increase in risk premia between August 2007 and[…]

NBER Working Paper – Stress Relief? Funding Structures and Resilience to the Covid Shock

Author(s):Kristin Forbes, Christian Friedrich, Dennis Reinhardt Date:May 2023 Abstract: This paper explores the relationship between different funding structures—including the source, instrument, currency, and counterparty location of funding—and the extent of financial stress experienced in different countries and sectors during the sharp risk-off shock in early 2020 when Covid-19 spread globally. We measure financial stress using[…]

NBER Working Paper – Interbank Networks and the Interregional Transmission of Financial Crises: Evidence from the Panic of 1907

Author(s):Matthew S. Jaremski, David C. Wheelock Date:May 2023 Abstract: This paper provides quantitative evidence on interbank transmission of financial distress in the Panic of 1907 and ensuing recession. Originating in New York City, the panic led to payment suspensions and emergency currency issuance in many cities. Data on the universe of interbank connections show that[…]

NBER Working Paper – Cross-border Spillovers: How US Financial Conditions affect M&As Around the World

Author(s):Katharina Bergant, Prachi Mishra, Raghuram Rajan Date:May 2023 Abstract: We find that financial conditions in the core have significant spillover effects on cross-border mergers and acquisitions (M&As). On average, a 1 percentage point easing of the IMF US Financial Conditions Index is associated with approximately a 10% higher volume of cross-border M&As. The spillovers are[…]

July 2023: Funding structures and resilience to shocks after a decade of regulatory reform

By Kristin Forbes, Christian Friedrich and Dennis Reinhardt Recent episodes of financial stress, including the ‘dash for cash’ at the onset of the Covid-19 (Covid) pandemic, pressure in the UK’s liability-driven investment funds in 2022, and the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in 2023, were stark reminders of the vulnerability of financial institutions to shocks[…]